US Politics

How game theory predicts Trump might not do all that he threatens over Ukraine, Taiwan and Nato

— Donald Trump’s unpredictability, as demonstrated during his first presidency, leaves global leaders uncertain about his potential actions in his second mandate. His approach mirrors game theory’s “chicken game,” where risk-taking can deter adversaries.

Long-Read

The rise and rise of national populism (Part 1 – “Divide and rule”)

— National populism, fuelled by media-backed disinformation, anti-immigrant rhetoric, and libertarian ideologies, threatens democracies globally by eroding institutions, fostering fear, and exploiting divisions.

US Immigration

Trump has promised to build more ships. He may deport the workers who help make them

— President-elect Donald Trump has vowed to accelerate the pace of U.S. military shipbuilding. However, his commitment to tightening immigration controls could exacerbate the labour shortages already plaguing the U.S. shipbuilding industry, potentially jeopardising production schedules.

US Politics

US election pollsters were actually a lot closer than people think

— Polling accuracy in the U.S. presidential election faced criticism, despite improved performance over 2020. Small errors in a tight race amplified perceived inaccuracies, but swing state polls generally proved reliable, reflecting a close contest, Professor John Curtice explains.

US-EU Relationship

What Trump’s return might mean for Europe, and how it’s starting to prepare for the challenges

— Donald Trump’s potential second-term foreign policy poses significant challenges for Europe, threatening trade relations, NATO stability, and collective security. Europe faces increasing pressure to bolster defence and self-sufficiency amid shifting U.S. priorities.

COMMENT

Trump and the world: Mapping reaction a fortnight after election win

— Donald Trump’s global impact is divisive, with world leaders expressing mixed reactions. Europe grapples with populist surges; Russia sees opportunity; Ukraine fears abandonment; China anticipates trade clashes, while India remains cautiously optimistic.

US Politics

Loyalty trumps everything – What we know about the 47th president-elect’s cabinet

— Donald Trump’s second-term cabinet selection prioritises loyalty over expertise, featuring controversial figures linked to divisive rhetoric, legal investigations, and potential conflicts of interest, sparking debate over governance suitability and policy implications.

OPINION

US Election: A long time out while I’m pissed

— Donald Trump’s re-election campaign, marked by his divisive platform, dishonesty, and lack of accountability, leads B. Jay Cooper to argue that Trump’s conduct contradicts American values and lacks presidential integrity.

US Politics

Soaring inflation helped lead Trump to victory – here’s why some of his policies might drive prices higher again

— Donald Trump’s economic policies on tariffs, immigration, and tax cuts could unintentionally reignite inflation, economists warn, despite initial success in curbing it. These measures risk raising prices and fuelling economic strain.

US Politics & Religion

New Apostolic Reformation evangelicals see Trump as God’s warrior in their battle to win America from satanic forces and Christianize it

— An evangelical religious movement views Donald Trump as a divinely chosen leader fighting against perceived demonic forces in America. Mainstream Christian groups criticise this stance, warning that it risks polarising faith and politics.

What The Experts Say

Will Trump’s re-election halt the Green Revolution? Experts say ‘No’

— Donald Trump’s re-election signals potential setbacks for global climate ambitions, yet some experts believe the momentum towards renewables and the green economy will persist, challenging Trump’s fossil fuel focus.

COMMENT

A party that abandoned the workers found the workers had abandoned them

— Democrats faced an unprecedented electoral setback on November 5, losing key Senate seats and confronting voter backlash against progressive policies, revealing disconnects in language and messaging with working-class Americans.

OPINION

In the spirit of unity, Trump should admit 2020 wasn’t rigged

— As Donald Trump prepares for another presidential term, B. Jay Cooper suggests a unifying gesture: acknowledging the 2020 election was not rigged. Such honesty could foster reconciliation amid widespread anxiety. Will he do it, though?

2024 US Presidential Election

Donald Trump stuns America with election win, reshapes political landscape

— Donald Trump has defeated Vice President Kamala Harris in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election in a highly contested race. Trump’s win underscores a broader shift to the right in American politics.

2024 US Presidential Election

Trump regains US presidency – How the election played out

— Donald Trump has won re-election after securing key battleground states, with Republicans reclaiming the Senate. High voter turnout highlighted concerns over democracy and security, despite foreign interference threats.

2024 US Presidential Election

US Election: What time do the polls close, and when will the results be known?

— With new state laws speeding up ballot counting since 2020, the 2024 U.S. presidential result could arrive sooner. However, potential delays from voting challenges and certification disputes may prevent an election-night outcome.